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From Fields to Forecasts: How Coffee Co-ops in East Africa Are Using AI to Outsmart Climate Risk

Helios AI

46:24

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July 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET · 1 hour

Coffee farming in Rwanda and Uganda has always run on generational knowledge — when to plant, when to harvest, when to hold back. Climate change broke that knowledge. Rainfall patterns shifted. Dry spells land mid-season. The signals farmers trusted for decades no longer map to what's actually in the ground.

In this fireside chat, Helios AI, COSA, and Ethos Agriculture share results from a Gates Foundation-funded pilot that gave coffee cooperatives in East Africa a new signal: daily, crop-specific climate risk intelligence, built on satellite data and a decade of historical patterns. Hear from the people running the program on the ground — and from the farmers and cooperative managers who used it to make real decisions in real time.

This session is for sustainability and sourcing leaders at food and coffee companies, NGO and development leaders, and anyone working on farmer resilience in climate-exposed supply chains.

  • Live audience polling and Q&A included.

Speakers

Francisco Martin-Rayo

Francisco Martin-Rayo

CEO & Co-Founder @ Helios AI

Saurin Nanavati

Saurin Nanavati

Founder @ Ethos Agriculture

Since 2002, Saurin has worked at the intersection of agriculture, design, and systems change, developing programs that support smallholder communities across coffee, cotton, and cocoa. His work spans responsible sourcing, finance, traceability, and leadership development, grounded in strengthening relationships across value chains. He designs and facilitates events and exchanges that bring diverse perspectives together around shared challenges.

Jeroen Bollen

Jeroen Bollen

Project Manager @ COSA

With over 25 years of experience working with smallholder coffee producers in Latin America, Jeroen has extensive expertise in social finance, cooperative management, and sustainable development with a regional focus on Central and Latin America. Starting at a coffee producers' cooperative in Guatemala, he led the organization through a period of significant growth. Jeroen then moved to Massachusetts-based Root Capital, leading the lending and financial advisory portfolio in Latin America. After 11 years in finance, Jeroen returned to the coffee sector with Sustainable Harvest, where he was involved in supply chain management, logistics, impact measurement, and the development of a net-zero policy, enhancing the company's Relationship Coffee Model. Currently, he works at the Committee on Sustainability Assessment—COSA on Agile projects and impact measurement.

Masereka Brian

Masereka Brian

Founder & Operations Manager @ Beagheni Coffee Estate

Founder and Operations Manager of Bagheni Coffee Estate, a family-owned commercial coffee estate in Uganda, pioneering a model that preserves agricultural land rather than allowing it to be fragmented across generations. He is committed to producing exceptional specialty coffee while promoting sustainable farming, long-term productivity, and value creation at origin. Brian also serves as the Beyco Coordinator for East Africa at Progreso Foundation, where he leads the implementation of digital data management, traceability, and compliance reporting systems across the coffee and cocoa value chains. His work focuses on helping producer organizations strengthen transparency, meet international market requirements, and improve supply chain sustainability through digital innovation.

From Fields to Forecasts: How Coffee Co-ops in East Africa Are Using AI to Outsmart Climate Risk

46:24

Watch